Maury Brown (@BizBallMaury) made a few bold Twitter predictions today following Marlins owner Jeffrey Loria's open mic performance at the ballpark (which, of course, followed the underwhelming lines at the box office):
For those of you keeping score at home, the previous worst sophomore season at a new ballpark in the modern era belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays, which saw attendance drop by 30% from 1998 to 1999 (2.5 million fans to 1.7 million fans).
The Brewers also saw their attendance drop by 30% in their second year at Miller Park (2.8M fans to just under 2.0M), while the Pirates saw attendance drop by 28% in the second year of PNC Park (2.5M fans to 1.8M).
So that means for Brown's prediction to come true, the Marlins would have to average fewer than 19,823 fans per game in 2013. Not only is it possible, but it's also possible they could fall below that mark and still draw more fans than the Rays. In 2012, Tampa Bay drew just 19,255 fans per game.
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"So that means for Brown's prediction to come true, the Marlins would have to average fewer than 19,823 fans per game in 2013. Not only is it possible, but it's also possible they could fall below that mark and still draw more fans than the Rays. In 2012, Tampa Bay drew just 19,255 fans per game."
ReplyDeleteBoth of these are coming true. Rays are seeing lower attendance than 2012 and are in last, the Marlins have lower avg attendance, and do not have any sellouts. Good job, Noah. You were right, as well.
-- Maury